Tuesday, March 21, 2017

On healthcare, government, and the individual

I've been having a few interesting discussions on my personal Facebook of late on the topic of the role of government, the individual, society, so forth. Healthcare is a topic that seems to come up often of late, perhaps because the GOP and Trump are in the process of repealing rebranding Obamacare.

Now, On Facebook, I know I have a tendency to ramble, follow rabbit trails and tangents, and the like. In my view, so many political and economic issues are linked within the greater philosophy of liberty. One cannot be logically consistent in saying the government has no say in their bedroom or body, then demand government funds pay for healthcare, one policy matter is linked to another, to another, like so many teetering dominoes. But, my point here is specifically healthcare. More specifically, a detailed look at what a true, free market system *could* look like.

I'm not going to rail against Obamacare or GOPcare, those horses are already out on the back 40. This post is for those who would really rather not have D.C. in their doctors office, but, gotta pay those insane medical bills right? Lets look at some options, what could have been, what might be:

What could have been:
Mutual Aid Societies.

Before Medicare, Medicaid, or other government programs, people worked together, voluntarily, to help each other address medical, and other, financial needs. You know those Elk and Moose lodges, among many other diverse groups, they used to serve a far greater function than they do today. They used to be cooperative societies that provided their memberships with various mutual benefits of pooled resources, healthcare, business training and networking, education benefits, financial assistance, and so on. This was community welfare without the state. Some allowed only white men, some only black men, some only women, some men and woman, some along industry lines, or religious lines, these groups were diverse in what they offered members, and what they expected of members. The point here, is many of them offered healthcare affordable access to healthcare. The lodges and societies began to decline in the 1930's, mostly due to increased regulation that favored commercial insurance, and later, public benefits, over "lodge medicine", and licensing boards refusing to approve doctors who accepted "lodge contracts" effectively freezing mutual aid societies out of healthcare in favor of insurance and government programs. Many today would have us believe that without government intervention, our grandparents would die in the streets. History actually shows that, until government interference, our grandparents were pretty adept at handling health costs without government assistance or expensive insurance premiums. In fact, we are where we are today, arguably because of the lobbying of insurance companies for increased regulation against benevolent societies that weren't very good for business. There are actually several banks and insurance companies that began as such societies, and incorporated to continue to exist in spite of federal regulatory pressure against societies in favor of corporate and business entities.

Read More:
Welfare before the Welfare State, The Mises Institute
From Mutual Aid to Welfare State, Heritage Foundation
Mutual Aid is not just Historical, Libertarianism.org


The implication from many often seems to be that without government protection, it is just us, we poor little fish, among the insurance sharks, and only the government can control rising costs. Forget that those rising costs are due to regulations limiting competition, that historical data shows we the people are perfectly capable of affordable healthcare without government strings. This of course, leads to some modern examples of healthcare sharing:

Medical Sharing:

There are several ministries that provide "sharing" of medical expenses among members. They have various levels of coverage, from catastrophic coverage to some that cover preventative checkups and the like. These are ministries that are exempt from the Obamacare insurance mandate, meaning under the law, members are considered to have insurance, although these plans are not themselves insurance in the traditional sense of the word. They tend to be far more affordable than insurance policies, but also limit membership, to some degree or another, along religious lines, the 5 I am aware of all being Christian ministries. I provide their links here purely for informational purposes, without any endorsement towards any given one:

Samaritan Ministries

Christian Healthcare Ministries

Christian Care Ministry

Liberty Healthshare

Altrua Healthshare

Of note, the first 3 on the list have fairly stringent faith requirements, one even needing a pastoral letter to join, as is their prerogative, just something to keep in mind if you're checking them out as an alternative. Liberty seems slightly less stringent, but still requires an overall statement of faith (remember, this is a faith based program after all!) Altrua doesn't require a statement of faith per se, but does require adherence to "moral standards"

I fully support private entities having any entry requirements they wish, and it seems perfectly logical for a share program along religious lines to have faith based standards to some degree. Here's a basic overview of the concept as a whole. I am uncertain of any nonreligious, or even nonchristian, healthshare groups currently in existence, although, to my understanding, the only thing that would preclude such a thing would be current law under Obamacare (the five listed had to be granted specific exemption), I am unsure what impact GOPcare may have here.

It would be interesting to see what possibilities could exist if we combined historical "mutual aid" concepts with these modern health share concepts, perhaps considering other options beyond faith, although faith is a powerful motivator to share needs, other options could include industry groups (Volunteer Firefighter health share anyone? Farmer health share?) The only thing really stopping these options is government regulation and public mentality that it is the government, rather than ourselves, that must fix the issue at hand.

Cost of Medication and lack of competition

Speaking of healthcare costs, an issue often brought up is the out of control cost of medications. Yet many fail to see the irony of seeking government assistance with medication costs, when high costs are often the result of government enforced and protected monopolies. Remember the outcry over $600 epipens? Nobody really seemed to notice that the company that owned the rights to the epipen was able to charge such an outrageous fee because no other company was allowed to market a similar product, until Impax and CVS were able to get a competing generic, and substantially lower priced product, FDA blessed. We often think of the government as protecting us from monopolies and predatory companies, but in the area of pharmaceuticals, the government seems to be a cause, rather than a cure.

Cash based medicine

Speaking of competition, there's a growing trend among some doctors and surgeons, cash based medicine. Many of these providers don't deal with insurance, medicare, or medicaid at all, taking payment directly, and saving substantial money in paperwork and medical billing. Costs are more upfront and clear to consumers, and more affordable and accountable.

Here's an interesting write up in Time about a surgical center in Oklahoma making waves by clearly presenting costs, and substantially reducing costs, showing pretty clearly what free market competition and transparency can offer the industry as a whole. Although the article does fret at the end about being able to pay the cash cost, in most instances I have researched, including the focus of the article, the cost is substantially below other, less transparent options. Here's another article on two other primary care practices who have also moved to cash only, and lowered costs in the process. Combined with vibrant mutual aid or health share options, this indeed makes healthcare quite reasonable without government interference.






Conclusion

My takeaway from what I have seen in my years in EMS, the historical and current data I have seen, and what I have shared above, it is in fact very feasible to have affordable, efficient, effective healthcare if we reduce, rather than increase the role of government and regulation in the process. We could in fact, have incredibly affordable healthcare, through a combination of the above mentioned mutual aid, health share programs, cash based medicine, increased competition and innovation, and overall reducing federal government favoritism and cronyism in the medical and pharmaceutical industries. I welcome your thoughts and input, however, I wanted to share that the libertarian "free market" healthcare response is far from Utopian or a pipe dream. It does exist, it is growing where it is allowed to, it has been incredibly vibrant in the past (of course, with far less technology available). Given the option, I'd much prefer to go to a cash based practice, utilize a health share or a resurrected mutual aid organization for emergencies, and spend less for better care, without any government involvement in my medical care.

Tuesday, January 31, 2017

On Starbucks, refugees, and veterans

*Quick housekeeping note: I've gone pretty radio silent on here, I know, I'm sorry. Basically been working full time, still farming with my dad, in the process of buying a house, and other general life events, blog has kinda landed on the back burner. There's definitely much to comment on, just haven't had much free time. That said, blog below*

Starbucks Outrage!


Starbucks has recently announced that it will hire 10k refugees. Apparently, this is terrible and worthy of outrage. People who don't understand how to use google or have a poor grasp of facts are livid, declaring that Starbucks should instead be hiring veterans, and are declaring a boycott of the company. I mean, the coffee is terrible and overpriced, sure, full disclosure, I haven't darkened the door of a Starbucks in a very long time, unless I'm driving and that is the only coffee available...but I digress...


First of all, the refugees vs veterans thing, this is an emotional argument, and uses veterans as a political and partisan pawn, as a veteran, this bugs me, immensely. Yes, there are veterans in need, yes we need to give our VA system some serious attention, that's another matter for another post. But to say we cannot help one group in need because there's also this other group in need is absurd, we are capable of helping both, we have a moral duty to help both. As a veteran, I refuse to allow the dismissal of refugee needs solely because veterans also need help.

Now, as to Starbucks itself. If you even do a cursory search on Google, you will see quickly that the company does quite alot for veterans.  First, from Starbucks itself. And here's a Starbucks press release from 2015. And an entire "news room" dedicated entirely to veteran experiences with Starbucks.

But that is all media published by the company right? Not good enough? OK...Here's a November 2016 interview with Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz on what they are doing to help veterans. And beyond just employing them, Starbucks gives Veteran employees, thier spouses, and children, full tuition among many other benefits. Here's another story on military.com about the companies outreach to veterans and military families

I could list link after link after link. If you don't like Starbucks, that's fine. As I've said, I don't think much of their coffee. But if you are going to boycott them to "help veterans" you're, well, an idiot. The facts are, they committed in 2013 to hire 10k veterans, and have hired thousands. They pay full tuition for veterans and families. They donate coffee to deployed service members. They help veterans and veterans causes immensely. This veteran hates their coffee, but supports the company. Make your choice, but for goodness sake, at least try to inform yourself. It's not hard, you have zero excuse. It really is possible for a company to hire both veterans and refugees, and frankly, it's refreshing to see a large company that is actually striving to help people. I don't agree with all of their politics, but you know what? Let's not look for things to be outraged over where there is not only zero cause, but in fact, the very opposite of what you think. Starbucks *does* hire veterans,as well as military spouses, actively recruits them, and actively helps it's current veteran and military employees improve their lives.

Your bs alternative facts have no power here

Wednesday, October 26, 2016

So you want to do a write in vote

This year is an interesting election year for sure. The two parties have handed us two of the least popular candidates in history, and many are looking for other options. First, there are 4 candidates on the ballot in the state of NY, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Gary Johnson, and Jill Stein. Now, full disclosure, I am supporting Gary Johnson, and while I hope you will consider doing so as well, I also want you to understand all of your options. If you are also considering Chris Keniston, Darrell Castle, or Evan McMullin, among others, you can still vote for them, and it is quite simple to do so.


The above is a sample ballot for Madison County. If you reside in another county in NY, your ballot should be fairly similar. Go all the way to the very bottom, on the very left line (Presidential Electors for President and Vice President) to the last line that says write in. In the box for that line, write your chosen candidate (you can find a list of NYS write in candidates for 2016 president here) If your write in candidate is not on this list, you can still write them in, but it won't be counted. When writing in your candidate, ensure it is spelled correctly, and as legible as possible, and ensure you are writing it in the correct box.

A candidate certified with the state board of elections has electors appointed should they actually win, that is why their individual votes are counted, and those not certified are not recorded by name, or tracked.

So if you wish to vote for Chris Keniston, Evan McMullin, Darrell Castle, or any of the others on the above list, that is how you do so. If you have any issues, the elections staff are there to help you make sure your ballot is properly recorded, don't be afraid to ask.

Also don't forget to vote for the other offices running!

You don't have to accept the terrible two on Tuesday the 8th!

Saturday, October 22, 2016

To the Church and to pro life voters:

I want to re-address the issue of abortion and pro life voters. Of all the issues this crazy election cycle, this is an issue, one of the only issues, that I not only understand the perspective, but strongly respect, those who are considering voting for Trump for being Pro Life. That said, I'd ask you consider a few points:

Trump is inconsistent, he has been very pro choice. He has been supportive of Planned Parenthood in the past, and although there is no evidence either way (since he won't release his tax returns...) Trump himself says "it's possible"



Now, I know, you're saying "He's changed, he's pro-life now!" Ok, but let me ask you this, he's flipped repeatedly, not just on this issue, but on others, on immigration (He advocated open borders and said the GOP was unkind towards immigrants in 2013) on gun rights, and many others. I bring these others up for a whole picture. People change positions on things over time, it happens. But the fact that he has changed positions on so many issues, in such a short time, is cause for concern. Are these really his new positions, or is he taking a position to get the attention of a particular crowd? I don't have the answer, you don't have the answer. Only Trump and God know for certain the true answer here. I am not, and none of us are capable of, judging what the man has in his heart, but I am, and we all should, look at the fruit, and look at where he has stood to get an idea of where he stands. So, in this line, I sincerely ask you, can you confidently say that you trust his new position?

Next point, Trump has said (most recently in the third debate) That if Roe vs Wade (actually Casey vs Planned Parenthood) is overturned, then it would fall back on the states to make a decision. This is actually an accurate statement, as under the 10th amendment, thats how the constitution reads on the matter. My point here is, that is precisely the position Gary Johnson takes, regarding the tenth amendment and constitutional issues, and regarding abortion. If you actually look at the substance of what both candidates have said, and the consistency of Johnson's past positions, the end result you get regarding the issue of abortion is quite identical.

So, I hear you when you say that although you dislike Trump, you feel compelled to support him on the issue of life, and that while you like much of what Johnson says, you cannot support him because he is pro choice.

In the third debate, Trump and Clinton went at it over late term abortions, and Trump scored points for painting a grisly visual of ripping babies apart. It was quite convincing, and I don't disagree with him. However, "partial birth" abortion is already illegal. Late term abortion is rare, and is banned in 43 states. So this portion of the argument, while it is certainly useful for strong reactions (and Trump succeeded in that end) is a rather mute point.

Johnson opposes government funding for abortion, as well as for stem cell research, and is consistent on this issue back to when he was governor of New Mexico. He believes it is a state issue, not federal, which is just what Trump said in the third debate. As governor of NM, he signed a law banning late term abortions and requiring parental notification.

He overall is a strict constitutionalist, and has suggested Clarence Thomas and Andrew Napolitano as examples of the types of judges he would consider.

Look, here's my point, yes, the rhetoric is different, Trump speaks the pro life talk well, while Johnson is favorable of individual liberty, and when he addresses abortion he does so from this perspective. However, I, as a pro life libertarian, look to the substance and the consistency, and on the issue of abortion, Johnson is far more consistent on the issue than Trump is. That is what I ask you to consider.

You have before you a candidate who has been very firmly pro choice for years, who has supported NARAL and Planned Parenthood, and who has been very inconsistent on multiple issues, who now tells you to trust him that he's different now, and a candidate who as governor signed legislation limiting abortion, who has consistently opposed government funds for abortion, and who consistently says it is not a federal issue. You decide. And only you can decide, I have made my position clear, to me, it is an easy choice, Trump speaks pro life words with a pro abortion background. Johnson supports choice with an effectively, on substance, pro life constitutional stance.

I finally ask you, regarding Republicans and abortion, if you believe they will actually take action. Please consider my final point. Roe vs Wade was decided by a Republican dominated court (5 of the justices on the majority opinion were Republican appointed). Furthermore, the GOP controlled the House, the Senate, and the presidency from 2003-2007, yet no action was taken to actually ban abortion. So I must genuinely ask, each election year, you dutifully vote Republican in support of pro life politicians, this is admirable, but what has it gotten you? Each time around, your choices get worse and worse, and you accept it, because you must support life. Again, admirable, I respect that. But we must be honest with ourselves, are these really candidates who share your views, or are they saying the right words because they know that this is an issue that will keep you faithful to the party? These are things I want you to seriously, honestly, and prayerfully consider.

If in the end, you come to the decision that you must support Trump because of the issue of life, then we will disagree, but I will respect your choice. I just ask that before you make that choice, you consider all that I have elaborated above. I will not dare to tell you what your moral duty is, that is between you, your conscience, and God almighty. I will say, in closing, that it is my firm belief that the only candidate on all 50 state ballots that consistently supports a position favorable to pro life views, in spite of the rhetoric used, is Gary Johnson. I am happy to discuss any questions you may have, and have tried my best to remain focused solely on this one issue for this post, as I understand it's importance. But we must consider positions taken on the issue as a whole, and how they place in the larger issue as a whole.

It is my hope that as Christians we can remain united in Christ even if we disagree politically, and I hope I have helped you further understand my views on this matter. I am not a single issue voter, but for this particular issue, I can understand and respect those that are. I hope this post helps you understand and respect that you do not have to hold your nose and vote Trump in support of life. I would argue that if you do, you may well get something very different from your hopes, and you will simply encourage the continuation of candidates saying the right words to win your vote, but taking no action.

Vote for liberty, vote for life, vote for change
Thank you, and God bless you all

Final debate part 6, national debt and closing statements.

This is the sixth and final section of the debate held on 10/19 at the University of Nevada between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. Discussed in this segment are the national debt and the candidates closing statements.



3rd party responses:



Commentary:

First, before I really get into the discussion here, I want to point out that in this debate, we spend nearly 20 minutes arguing about scandals and not even 10 minutes on the national debt...this is telling...

Now, here's what each candidates plan would do to the debt: massively increase it!

Trump's response: "Well I say they are wrong" but he alludes to magically creating jobs and other indefinite answers to address real economic concerns, and does not acknowledge that his trade protectionism would in fact harm, not help the economy. Trump failed to even address the question at all with anything but continued rhetoric and no actual substance.

Clinton says, amazingly, she won't "add a penny" to the national debt.This is downright false, and if she really believes that her economics actually make sense, that's very concerning. If she doesn't...then she is ok with outright lying.

Trump avoided actually answering the question on entitlements, other than blasting Obamacare (rightly so) but avoided answering on medicare, medicaid, social security, et al, other than saying that his wonderful plan would make it a non issue, even though as noted repeatedly, the data shows that his plan would increase spending, increase the debt, and exacerbate, not fix, the problem.

Clinton would increase taxes and spending, but would not consider any cuts. This would have been a conversation greatly enhanced by third party voices. Neither candidate here seems interested in cutting entitlement spending or even really addressing the problem.

I want to point out again, that in this debate, we spent nearly 20 minutes arguing about scandals, and not even 9 minutes discussing (if you want to call it that...) the national debt and entitlement programs. The problem wasn't even really addressed or discussed, and Trump outright dodged it, while Hillary continued more of the same. This is a vital issue that should not be ignored, and yet, we ignore it and hope it goes away.

As to their closing statements...I don't have anything to say that hasn't been said, but this and the other debates would have been far better with third party voices involved. Trump and Clinton have managed to avoid substantial discussion of the issues, and have bickered and fought rather than presented actual discussion. They have both lied, twisted facts, misrepresented data and statistics. I think Chris Wallace did try to ask some hard questions, but was presented with candidates who fundamentally did not want to discuss policy or answer questions. This debate only confirmed that the two parties are both substantially flawed, and we need to move outside the duopoly and seek better ideas, better policy, and stop accepting the status quo.

Final Debate part 5, Foreign Policy

Part five of the debate held 10/19 at the University of Foreign policy. In this segment, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton debate foreign policy including Iraq, Syria, daesh, etcetera.



3rd Party responses:


Commentary and fact checks:

First, it's worth mentioning that US forces are actively engaged in combat operations in at least six nations (Iraq, Syria, Somalia, Libya, Yemen, and Afghanistan) with no formal declaration of war. Also, as Johnson points out, and Hillary does acknowledge, we already have "boots on the ground" in Iraq.

Here's a good overview of the discussion on Mosul and the inaccuracies from both candidates 

Hillary mentions the civil war in Syria, "Aided and abetted by Russia and the Iranians", but doesn't mention our own involvement in "aiding and abetting" the conflict, how much of a total mess it is, or our actual funding of daesh. Here's an interesting article on the topic from Reason, and here's another op-ed from the Guardian.

Hillary fails to acknowledge that it is our very foreign policy that she would continue that created daesh.

Trump's foreign policy is not much better, it's basically a mix of the same aggressive interventionism mixed with isolationist protectionism.

Trump also claims he opposed the war in Iraq, which is simply untrue.

The reality of this debate is both candidates support and would continue further intervention, continue the so called war on terror, and neither would represent any real major change in foreign policy.

Trump is right to point out the issue with funding the rebels and not really knowing who they are, but is inaccurate, and terribly so, with his fear tactics regarding refugees. (Here's an interesting article about the first Syrian refugee in Idaho, and her perspective) On the refugee situation, Clinton helped cause the problem, and Trump is using fear rhetoric and lies in response to the problem. The data simply does not support his fears.

On Hillary's no fly zone, this would be a swipe and confrontation with Russian and Syrian forces, not daesh. Russian and Syrian forces are using air power, not daesh. She didn't really address these concerns in the debate, other than to acknowledge they exist.

The reality of our foreign policy in the Middle East is that we have created the problem, we are fueling the problem, we don't even really understand the problem, and it is highly likely that either Clinton or Trump will only get us into a further mess, likely including a pissing match with Russia in their backyard.


Final debate part 4, scandals

Part 4 of the final debate held 10/19 at the University of Nevada. This segment addresses campaign scandals...




3rd party responses:












Commentary:

  I honestly don't have much to say here that hasn't been said over and over. I think focusing on these scandals, while they shouldn't be dismissed entirely, diminishes from discussions on policy. The fact that nearly 20 minutes of a debate between future leaders of our country was spent arguing and "I know you are but what am I" antics is a sad statement in and of itself. I will fact check a few of the statements made, but I'm not going to spend much time here.

Treatment of General Cartwright

Also, Hillary talks about Trump deflecting and denying controversies, which is quite true, but she doesn't have much ground to stand on, as she does the very same thing (for reference, see earlier where she deflects wikileaks by talking about Russia, or in this segment where she deflects allegations that her campaign paid for people to disrupt Trump rallies by...talking about violence at Trump rallies...)

I'm not really going to dive into the spats about their respective charities, except to say that there is evidence that both candidates have misused charity funds. There is certainly cause for concern here, but it should not be a major focus when it takes time away from discussion on the economy, foreign policy, taxes, and so on. Both candidates are terrible, and both are very happy to fight over scandals because it allows them to avoid any actual discussion of the issues.

As to the system being rigged and not accepting the results of the election, Trump is right, the system is rigged, but not necessarily at the polls. It is rigged to favor the two parties, and to present and favor a system which gives us these very two candidates.

If you want to actually talk about a rigged system, I encourage you to take an hour to watch Rigged 2016, and to consider the fact that over 70% of the population wanted to see third party voices in the debates, and yet here we are, talking about a debate between two of the most unpopular choices we have seen.


final debate with 3rd party responses, pt 3, economy, trade, and experience

This is part three of the final debate that occurred 10/19 at the University of Nevada. I have included 3rd party responses posted live during the debate via twitter, as well as some fact checks and commentary from me. In this segment they discuss economic policy, trade, and experience.






3rd Party responses on the economy and Trade:









Commentary and fact checks:

First, neither candidates plan is all that great, both will increase spending, and both will grow the national debt. Neither addresses out of control entitlement spending, and neither is really willing to take any action on military spending or on pork projects. The phrase rearranging the deck chairs on the titanic comes to mind. Here is an analysis of each candidates tax plans from the tax foundation. Evan McMullin shared a graphic above, also from the tax foundation, this is a more detailed breakdown. Basically, Trump will cut taxes, Hillary will raise taxes, but primarily on "higher earners". Neither plan really addresses actual tax reform, just adds some tweaks to the already complex tax code we currently have. As the tax foundation breakdown states, we must also consider these plans in conjunction with other policies, such as trade. For Trumps plan to be even the marginally successful numbers estimated in this review, it relies on an open economy and trade, however, as Trump has made clear, he will pursue the opposite. It's also worth noting that neither candidate has shown any intention of addressing the growing debt or reducing spending. Also of note, Johnson would completely rewrite the tax code, simplify it, remove the IRS, and implement either a consumption tax or a flat tax. McMullin also mentions addressing and simplifying the tax code drastically, as he links above. Castle would drastically change the tax environment (select tax policy) as well, proposing that the states fund the federal government and each state tax (or not) as they need to. Jill Stein mentions a "green new deal", but from the looks of it, her plan will drastically increase taxes and spending. Unfortunately, none of these other views were mentioned in the debate, and two very important issues are left untouched, actually reforming or replacing the tax code, and addressing out of control spending.

As both Johnson and Castle point out, regarding Clinton's statement to help small business and raise the minimum wage, these two are not really compatible. Here's an interesting and accurate take on the minimum wage discussion from 1960

Essentially, Hillary's plan increases spending,increases regulation, will raise the cost of education, and increases taxes. Here is a look at Bernie's college plan, which Hillary's is based off of.

Now, Trump talks a good game on cutting taxes, but still won't touch entitlement spending, adds to government spending, and seem intent on making up the difference by restricting trade and starting trade wars, which actually harms the economy. As Cato put's it, Trump's plan is "deserving ridicule".

Basically, the two are arguing about who should be taxed less or more, without addressing spending, both growing the debt, and neither actually seeking to reform the tax code. On the economy, both candidates are terrible, and we the people would have been better served to actually hear some alternate ideas.

Both candidates are arguing about who will protect the economy more, but neither candidate has addressed or seems to understand the benefits of free trade and the importance of trade on the economy.

Essentially, for the economy and trade portion of the debate, we see two candidates who are quibbling over two plans that will grow the debt, grow spending, and not really fix taxes, while Johnson would have interjected discussion on actually fixing the tax code, free trade, and cutting spending, as to a degree would McMullin, Castle would be going further to the right of Trump on protectionism, but would have interjected some interesting views on taxes and spending, and Stein would have gone to the left of Clinton, but would have again interjected an interesting debate on free trade, and it is too bad that we are limited to these two voices who, overall, neither has a good plan, and who, in view of substance and results, don't differ all that much in the end.

I will give Trump credit for pointing out one thing, Hillary has been in positions of impact for decades, and her plans haven't been good ones. However, that doesn't make his terrible plans good either.

Trump has been mentioning the "lost $6 Billion" However, this is an inaccurate statement. While it is concerning regarding the bureaucracy of the state department and trouble properly keeping track of paperwork, reality seems to show that no actually money was "lost". Cause for concern? yes, but not the inaccurate way Trump is spinning it.

Finally, on experience, Johnson is a two term governor of New Mexico, with a proven record of reducing government and cutting spending. McMullin has extensive foreign policy experience.

This segment was a display of bad economic policy, misinformation, and pandering to emotion.

Thursday, October 20, 2016

Final Debate and 3rd party responses, pt 2, Immigration, Border Security, Wikileaks, and Russia

Part two of last nights debate, with concurrent twitter responses from Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, Evan McMullin, and Darrell Castle, as well as some commentary and fact checking from me. This segment is on Immigration, border security, and cyberattacks

Debate part 2: Immigration, Border Security, Cyberattacks





Immigration and border security, 3rd party responses:


















Immigration and Border Security, fact checks and commentary:

First of all, Trump loves to talk about immigrants and crime, there's a nice element of fear there to energize his base, but the numbers simply don't support his position. Also, Trump is claiming that ICE has endorsed him, they have not, a Union representing ICE employees has, but that is a different matter than a government agency endorsing a candidate, and an important distinction.

In reference to his comments on Drugs, Stein mentioned it in her twitter responses, and Johnson has discussed it at great length before, the greatest cause for much of the violence surrounding drugs is the drug war itself. Legalization of marijuana and changing the way we address harder drugs will substantially reduce the violence and crime surrounding them. Just as alcohol prohibition created the gangster and the mob, so to does drug prohibition strengthen the cartels. As an example, Portugal.

As both Johnson and Stein have pointed out, better walls make bigger ladders and better tunnels. This isn't to say that we shouldn't have any border security, but that we need to look at policies as a whole, regarding immigration, drug policies, and foreign interventions that create refugee situations.

Now, Hillary rightly points out, as have others, that Trumps plan to deport 11 million undocumented immigrants is...well, nuts...with a large amount of logistical flaws that he has never really answered.

Now, Hillary has kinda been all over the place on immigration, and Trump sorta rightfully points that out. Here's data from the Daily Kos of all sources on how before Trump went full wall, it was Hillary who wanted a fence.

She does correctly reference illegal immigrants used to build the Trump Tower, however, whether Trump knew of their status at the time is another question. As to Obama's deportation rates, Trump is correct, on the numbers anyway, he's incorrect when he says no one is talking about it however.

Now, before we move on to Wikileaks, Russia, and Cyber attacks, I want to point out one more thing that hasn't been addressed much. Hillary's immigration stance has certainly been inconsistent.. However, Trump has also been inconsistent on immigration. In 2012 he criticized Romney and the GOP for being "mean spirited" on immigration and called Romney's immigration policy "crazy" and "maniacal". And in 2013, Trump had a very different opinion on borders and trade than he has now:
"My concern is that the negligence of a few will adversely affect the majority. I've long been a believer in the "look at the solution, not the problem" theory. In this case, the solution is clear. We will have to leave borders behind and go for global unity when it comes to financial stability."

Wikileaks, Russia, Cyber-attacks, 3rd party responses:



 


Fact checks and commentary.

Hillary says that 17 intelligence agencies have confirmed that Russia is behind the Wikileaks information, which is simply not true, but she also uses this is if it makes the information itself untrue. Yes, as I've talked about before, if Russia is actively hacking us and manipulating the election, it is a concern. But it doesn't let her off the hook for information revealed, and the fact that rather than categorically denying or defending it, but trying to ignore it bu shifting focus, is a problem. 

Next, "we've never had anything like this happen" is a downright lie, it happens all the time, we do it to other countries all the time.

Now, within this topic, Trump brings up refugees and terrorists. As is the case with his stats on immigration and crime, his stats on refugees are off the wall as well.

Also of note, Trump mentions how Hillary and Obama "won't even mention...Islamic Terrorism" which is quite false actually.

Next. they wander into Russia and nuclear weapons, and Hillary states that Trump has been rather flippant about nuclear weapons. Trump says "wrong", but the record shows otherwise.

I won't really get into the "who's a puppet" spat, you can come to your own conclusions there...

An interesting deflection from Clinton to avoid wikileaks, and Trump allowed her to do it.